Backlinks in 2026: Do They Still Matter?

Are Backlinks Still Important in 2026? What the Evidence Shows

Are Backlinks Still Important in 2026? Separating SEO Facts from Fiction

Are backlinks still important for SEO in 2026? Ask ten different SEO agencies, and you’ll receive ten contradictory answers each delivered with absolute certainty. One claims backlinks are the foundation of all ranking success, another dismisses them as obsolete relics of the early 2000s, and a third warns that your site is drowning in ‘toxic links’ requiring immediate (and expensive) cleanup.

The confusion is understandable. Google’s algorithm has evolved dramatically over the past two decades, with hundreds of updates refining how search results are determined. AI-powered systems like RankBrain, BERT, and now Gemini have transformed how Google interprets content quality and user intent. The rise of AI Overviews and generative search has fundamentally changed how users interact with search results.

Yet despite these technological leaps, one question persists with remarkable urgency: Do backlinks still matter? And if so, how much? The stakes are high entire SEO budgets and strategies hinge on getting this answer right.

This comprehensive guide cuts through the conflicting narratives with actual, verifiable evidence: Google’s official documentation, large-scale independent research studies analyzing billions of pages, and direct statements from Google’s search quality team. You’ll understand exactly how backlinks function in modern search algorithms, when disavow tools are genuinely necessary (and when they’re counterproductive), how to evaluate competing SEO advice critically, and most importantly how to avoid wasting thousands of dollars on unnecessary or harmful link-related services.

The answer to whether backlinks matter isn’t just “yes” or “no” it’s nuanced, evidence-based, and more important than ever to understand correctly.

Section 1: Google’s Official Position on Backlinks

Let’s start with the most authoritative source: Google’s own published documentation.

1.1 Google’s Core Ranking Documentation

Google’s official “How Search Works” explainer explicitly addresses how they evaluate quality and trustworthiness. The documentation states that one key factor Google examines is whether prominent websites link to or reference your content—this serves as a credibility signal indicating the information is trustworthy and authoritative.

This isn’t buried in obscure patent filings. It’s their primary public-facing explanation of how search works. The language is clear: links from prominent, relevant sites contribute to how Google assesses content quality.

📚 Source: Google’s Ranking Results Documentation

1.2 How Google Discovers Content Through Links

Google’s technical documentation reveals that links aren’t just ranking signals—they’re fundamental to the discovery process itself. The documentation explicitly states that most web pages are discovered automatically by crawlers that follow links from pages Google already knows about.

Think about the implications: Google discovers the vast majority of new and updated content by following links. Without links, discovery is slow, ranking is delayed, and your content may never reach its full potential.

📚 Source: How Google Search Works (Technical Fundamentals)

1.3 Google’s SEO Starter Guide Recommendations

The SEO Starter Guide is Google’s official advice for website owners. This document explicitly recommends ensuring links point to your pages—both internal and external links. It notes that Google finds a substantial portion of new content through links from other websites.

📚 Source: Google SEO Starter Guide

1.4-1.6 Additional Official Documentation

Google maintains comprehensive resources that would be unnecessary if backlinks were irrelevant:

  • Link Best Practices: An entire document explaining how to structure links and how Google uses them to discover and understand content. 📚 Source: Link Best Practices
  • Spam Policies: Detailed policies defining “link spam” as links created primarily to manipulate rankings. The existence of link spam policies reveals that links pass value when they’re natural. 📚 Source: Google Spam Policies
  • Spam Updates: Explains that when Google detects spammy links, they neutralize them—removing their effects rather than penalizing the site. 📚 Source: Search Spam Updates
  • Links Report in Search Console: A dedicated report showing which sites link to you and which pages have the most backlinks. If links didn’t matter, this report would be pointless. 📚 Source: Links Report Documentation

✅ Key Insight

Google’s documentation confirms that natural, relevant links from reputable sites are positive ranking signals, fundamental to both discovery and indexing. Manipulative links get neutralized through algorithmic detection, not penalized unless you actively participated in creating them.

Section 2: What Independent Research Reveals

Google’s documentation tells us links matter, but independent research quantifies exactly how much.

2.1 Major Platform Analyses

Backlinko’s Comprehensive Study: Their 2026 analysis of Google’s ranking factors positions backlinks as one of the core factors, describing them as “votes of confidence” from other sites that significantly influence search visibility.

📚 Source: Backlinko’s Google Ranking Factors

MonsterInsights’ Ranking: They rank backlinks as the #2 most important Google ranking factors immediately after high-quality content itself. Their research emphasizes that links from high-authority websites have a dramatically stronger impact than links from weak sites.

📚 Source: MonsterInsights Google Ranking Factors

2.2 The Ahrefs Study: The Most Striking Evidence

Ahrefs analyzed approximately 14 billion pages and discovered that 96.55% of all content gets zero organic search traffic from Google. What distinguished the successful 3.45%? Backlink presence was a primary differentiator.

📚 Source: Ahrefs Search Traffic Study

This massive study reveals a sobering reality: creating great content alone isn’t enough for most competitive queries. Pages with backlinks were dramatically more likely to receive organic search traffic than pages without any backlinks.

2.3 Industry Consensus and Pattern Recognition

The pattern across independent research is remarkably consistent, revealing universal findings despite different methodologies, data sets, and analytical approaches. Additional research from multiple authoritative sources confirms this consensus:

HigherVisibility’s Analysis: Their detailed examination asks your exact question—”Is link building still relevant to SEO?”—and concludes emphatically: “Yes, link building remains an essential part of SEO.” Their research stresses that while the game has changed, quality and relevance now matter more than sheer volume. One authoritative, relevant link outperforms hundreds of low-quality directory submissions.

📚 Source: HigherVisibility on Link Relevance

Competitive Requirements: HigherVisibility also explored the practical question of how many backlinks sites need to rank effectively. Their analysis explains that having too few backlinks fundamentally limits your ability to rank, especially for competitive queries. A strong base of high-quality backlinks isn’t optional—it’s required just to compete with other sites in your space.

📚 Source: How Many Backlinks to Rank

Domain Authority Connection: MonsterInsights’ comprehensive analysis breaks down how tools measure domain authority and demonstrates that backlinks play a huge role in these authority scores. While Google doesn’t use Domain Authority directly, these third-party metrics work because they approximate factors Google does use—primarily link-based authority signals.

📚 Source: Domain Authority Guide

Statistical Evidence: MonsterInsights’ 2025 statistics roundup provides a comprehensive view of the SEO landscape, highlighting that backlinks are widely considered the second most important ranking factor across multiple industry studies. The compilation also references the Ahrefs finding that a massive percentage of pages with no backlinks receive no search traffic whatsoever.

📚 Source: 49 SEO Statistics

Current Industry Positioning: Qupify’s 2025 analysis directly addresses whether link building remains relevant and answers with an unequivocal: “Yes, link building remains highly relevant.” Their research positions quality link building as a crucial component of any modern digital strategy, not an optional add-on.

📚 Source: Qupify on Link Building

E-commerce Specific Research: Vazoola’s analysis specifically examines e-commerce sites and their FAQ explicitly addresses relevance: “Yes, link building remains highly relevant to SEO. It directly influences a website’s authority and rankings.” This confirms the principle applies across industries, including highly competitive e-commerce sectors where ranking visibility directly impacts revenue.

📚 Source: Vazoola E-commerce Links

Fundamental Explanation: Backlinko’s foundational guide “What Are Backlinks in SEO & Why You Need Them” explains backlinks as “votes of credibility” for your website. The guide repeatedly emphasizes that you need high-quality backlinks if you want content to compete on page one, especially for competitive terms. This isn’t theory—it’s based on analysis of millions of search results.

📚 Source: Backlinko Backlinks Guide

✅ Research Consensus

No credible, data-driven source claims links don’t matter. Pages without backlinks almost never rank competitively. All major SEO platforms (Ahrefs, Semrush, Moz) invest millions in link analysis tools because their data proves links correlate strongly with ranking success.

Section 3: The ‘Toxic Links’ Myth, What Google Actually Says

This is where the SEO industry’s narrative diverges most sharply from Google’s actual position.

3.1 John Mueller: “Toxic Links” is a Made-Up Concept

John Mueller, Google’s Senior Search Analyst, has been remarkably direct on this topic. In widely-cited discussions, Mueller stated:

“The concept of toxic links is made up by SEO tools so that you pay them regularly… you can continue to save yourself the effort.”

His core points:

  1. SEO tools use proprietary metrics to label links “toxic,” but Google doesn’t use those scores
  2. Random spammy links are extremely common and expected—Google’s algorithms ignore them automatically
  3. The term “toxic links” isn’t terminology Google uses internally

📰 Sources:

3.2 The Disavow Tool: Not Normal Maintenance

In April 2026, Mueller explicitly clarified that using Google’s Disavow Tool regularly is not normal site maintenance. The tool exists for exceptional circumstances: cleaning up after confirmed manipulative link building, especially when you’ve received a manual action from Google.

📰 Source: Search Engine Journal

For normal sites that accumulated some junk links naturally—which is inevitable—Google’s systems already identify and ignore these links automatically.

3.3 Expert Consensus on Disavow

Multiple authoritative sources provide consistent guidance on when disavow is appropriate:

DevriX’s Analysis: Explains the disavow tool is a last resort for specific situations—documented manipulative link building history, manual actions related to unnatural links, or cleaning up black-hat SEO from previous owners.

📚 Source: DevriX on the Disavow Tool

W3ERA’s Coverage: Emphasizes that disavow is not a regular maintenance task but for unusual situations involving obvious, large-scale link manipulation.

📚 Source: W3ERA on Normal Maintenance

StanVentures’ Analysis: Concludes that disavowing links tools label as “toxic” is largely unnecessary unless there’s a clear penalty or severe link manipulation.

📚 Source: StanVentures on Toxic Links

Xamsor’s Breakdown: Traces the evolution since the old Penguin days and explains that modern Google identifies and neutralizes spammy links automatically.

📚 Source: Xamsor on Disavowing

Marie Haynes’ Changed Perspective: She previously operated a disavow service but shut it down, concluding most links flagged as “toxic” are simply spammy links Google already ignores.

📚 Source: Marie Haynes on Toxic Links

IdeaStoreach’s Summary: Emphasizes you don’t need disavow as normal maintenance—Google ignores most bad links automatically.

📚 Source: IdeaStoreach on Disavow

Traffic Think Tank’s Warning: Warns that over-using disavow can actually harm if you accidentally remove beneficial links. Recommends focusing on building great content instead of obsessing over “toxic” flags.

📚 Source: Traffic Think Tank on Bad Backlinks

Nikki Pilkington’s Analysis: Her article explains that Google’s default is to ignore low-quality links you didn’t build, not punish you because they exist.

📚 Source: Nikki Pilkington on Toxic Backlinks

✅ The Truth About “Toxic Links”

Google expects spammy backlinks, it’s unavoidable on the open internet. Their algorithms ignore them automatically through neutralization, not punishment. Real penalties require active participation in link schemes (buying links, using PBNs, large-scale exchanges). Monthly “toxic cleanup” services are often revenue generators selling unnecessary work, not SEO necessities.

Are Backlinks Still Important in 2026? What the Evidence Shows
Are Backlinks Still Important in 2026? What the Evidence Shows

Section 4: Why SEO Tools Still Track Backlinks

Here’s a simple logic test: If backlinks were irrelevant, why would Moz, Semrush, and Ahrefs invest millions of dollars building comprehensive link analysis systems?

The Business Logic Test

All three major platforms independently developed similar authority metrics:

  • Moz: Domain Authority (DA)
  • Semrush: Authority Score
  • Ahrefs: Domain Rating (DR)

These metrics are fundamentally based on backlink data and strongly correlate with ranking ability. They exist and work because they approximate factors Google actually uses—primarily link-based authority signals.

Development Costs: Building and maintaining backlink indexes requires enormous infrastructure millions in capital expenditure and ongoing costs.

Competitive Strategy: These companies compete intensively. If link data were meaningless, any platform could save costs by eliminating link tracking. Yet all have doubled down on link analysis.

The only rational explanation: Their extensive data shows backlinks correlate strongly with ranking success. They’re not building link indexes out of historical inertia—they’re doing it because data proves links matter.

Section 5: The Content-Only Fallacy

One common argument: “Just create amazing content. If it’s good enough, you don’t need backlinks.”

This narrative doesn’t align with reality for competitive keywords.

Why Content Alone Isn’t Sufficient

Modern SEO isn’t “content OR links, it’s “content AND links AND technical optimization AND user experience.” Consider this scenario:

Two websites publish nearly identical, exceptional content on the same topic. Both have comparable technical SEO. What determines which ranks higher?

In the vast majority of cases, the site with more authoritative, relevant backlinks dominates rankings. Content establishes relevance; links establish authority. Both are essential for competitive keywords.

When Content-Only Works

Content-focused strategies can succeed in specific scenarios:

  • Low-competition keywords with minimal search volume and few competing pages
  • Strong existing domain authority where the site already has a robust backlink profile
  • Hyper-local searches in less competitive markets with strong local signals

But return to the Ahrefs study: 96.55% of content gets zero traffic. The overwhelming majority lacks the authority signals (primarily backlinks) Google uses to differentiate between similar-quality pages.

The Strategic Reality

The most successful 2026 SEO strategies integrate:

  1. Exceptional content that satisfies user intent comprehensively
  2. Strategic, ethical link building from relevant, authoritative sources
  3. Technical excellence (speed, mobile, Core Web Vitals)
  4. User experience optimization
  5. E-E-A-T signals (Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness)

Ignoring any element—especially backlinks—creates significant competitive disadvantage.

Section 6: The Cost of Constantly Switching Strategies

Many businesses, frustrated by lack of results or confused by contradictory advice, switch SEO agencies every 30-90 days. This approach almost guarantees failure.

Why SEO Requires Time

SEO is fundamentally long-term:

  • Crawling and Indexing: Google must discover changes, which can take days or weeks for less-established sites
  • Algorithm Evaluation: Comparing your content against competitors, assessing quality signals, analyzing user interactions
  • Link Discovery: New backlinks must be discovered, evaluated for quality, and incorporated into rankings
  • User Signal Accumulation: Click-through rates, dwell time, engagement metrics need time to stabilize

Industry consensus: 3-6 months minimum to properly evaluate SEO strategy effectiveness. Competitive keywords often require 6-12 months for significant movement.

The Switching Cost

Constantly changing strategies creates:

  • Constant Resets: Interrupting progress just before results would appear
  • Contradictory Changes: Conflicting recommendations confuse Google’s understanding of your site
  • No Compounding Benefits: SEO success compounds over time—switching prevents this
  • Wasted Resources: Repeated “getting started” phases rather than sustained execution

When Switching IS Appropriate

Legitimate reasons include:

  • Clear evidence of black-hat tactics
  • Failure to execute agreed deliverables
  • Recommendations contradicting Google’s guidelines
  • Complete lack of progress for 6+ months
  • Dishonesty about results or practices

But “we didn’t rank #1 in 60 days” isn’t a legitimate reason to switch.

Section 7: How to Evaluate SEO Advice Critically

Given conflicting information, here’s a practical framework for evaluation.

Critical Questions to Ask Every Agency

  1. Can you show Google’s documentation supporting this approach? Legitimate strategies should align with Google’s published guidelines.
  2. What independent research backs this strategy? Effective SEO is evidence-based—agencies should reference studies from Ahrefs, Semrush, Backlinko, or other credible sources.
  3. What’s the realistic timeline for results? Be skeptical of anyone promising rankings in 30 days or guaranteeing positions.
  4. How do you earn backlinks rather than manipulate them? The answer should involve creating linkable assets, digital PR, and relationship-building—not buying links or using PBNs.
  5. Why recommend disavowing without manual actions? Unless you’ve received a manual penalty, aggressive disavowing is usually unnecessary.
  6. Why does your approach differ from Google’s guidelines? There should be clear reasoning for any recommendations that contradict official advice.

Frequently Asked Questions

Are backlinks still important in 2026?

Yes, unequivocally and conclusively. This isn’t opinion or speculation—it’s supported by multiple lines of evidence:

Google’s Documentation: Their official “How Search Works” documentation explicitly states they examine whether prominent websites link to your content as a credibility signal. This is published on their primary public-facing explanation of search ranking.

Independent Research: Studies analyzing billions of pages consistently show strong correlations between backlink profiles and ranking success. No credible, data-driven research claims links don’t matter.

Platform Investment: Ahrefs, Semrush, and Moz invest millions maintaining comprehensive backlink indexes because their data proves links correlate with rankings.

The emphasis has shifted dramatically from quantity to quality and relevance. A single editorial link from an authoritative site in your industry outweighs hundreds of low-quality directory links. But links remain essential for discovery (how Google finds your content), authority (how Google evaluates your credibility), and competitive differentiation (how Google chooses between similar-quality pages).

Should I worry about ‘toxic links’?

Generally, not for the vast majority of websites, this isn’t a real concern.

Google’s John Mueller has explicitly and repeatedly stated that “toxic links” is a concept created by SEO tool companies to generate recurring revenue. Here’s what you need to understand:

Google’s Internal Approach: Google doesn’t categorize links as “toxic” the way tools do. Their systems identify and automatically ignore low-quality, spammy, or manipulative links. These links don’t pass value, but they also don’t trigger penalties—Google simply neutralizes them.

When NOT to Worry:

  • Random spammy links from foreign sites or low-quality directories appear in your profile
  • SEO tools flag links with concerning “spam scores”
  • You haven’t engaged in any manipulative link building
  • You haven’t received manual action notifications from Google

When to Actually Address Links:

  • You’ve received a manual action in Search Console specifically about unnatural links
  • You knowingly participated in link schemes (bought links, used PBNs, large-scale exchanges)
  • You’re experiencing ranking declines directly traceable to specific manipulative campaigns

Even in these exceptional cases, focus first on building quality content and earning legitimate links. Disavow should be a last resort, not routine maintenance. Most “toxic link cleanup” services sell unnecessary work that wastes your time and money.

Can I rank with just content, no backlinks?

Short answer: For low-competition queries, possibly. For competitive keywords, extremely unlikely.

The data on this is stark. Ahrefs’ analysis of 14 billion pages found that 96.55% of content with no backlinks gets zero organic search traffic. Let that sink in—over 96% gets zero traffic, not just “low traffic.”

Scenarios Where Content-Only Might Work:

  • Ultra-specific, low-volume keywords with minimal competition and very few existing pages targeting the term
  • Sites with strong existing authority from previous link building—new pages benefit from the domain’s accumulated link equity
  • Very local searches in less competitive markets where Google Business Profile and local citations provide sufficient signals

Why Content Alone Usually Fails:

  • Discovery Problem: Without links, Google discovers and crawls your content more slowly
  • Authority Signals Missing: Among pages with similar content quality, Google uses authority (primarily from backlinks) to determine rankings
  • Competitive Disadvantage: Your competitors combining excellent content with strategic link building will consistently outrank you

The Modern Reality: Content establishes that you’re relevant and satisfy user intent. Links establish that you’re authoritative and credible. Google needs both signals to confidently rank you above competitors. Think of it as content AND links working together, not content OR links as alternatives.

Key Takeaways: What Actually Matters in 2026

✅ What Drives Rankings:

  • High-quality, intent-focused content that comprehensively satisfies user needs
  • Natural, relevant backlinks from authoritative sites in your industry
  • Technical excellence: Fast speeds, mobile optimization, Core Web Vitals
  • User experience signals: Engagement, dwell time, click-through rates
  • Consistent, long-term strategy executed over 3-6+ months
  • E-E-A-T signals: Experience, Expertise, Authoritativeness, Trustworthiness

❌ What Doesn’t Work:

  • Content-only strategies for competitive keywords
  • Obsessing over tool-flagged ‘toxic links’ based on spam scores
  • Monthly disavow submissions as routine maintenance
  • Switching strategies without adequate evaluation time (3-6 months)
  • Fear-based decisions driven by third-party tool scores
  • Manipulative link schemes: Buying links, PBNs, link exchanges

Conclusion: Make Evidence-Based SEO Decisions

The SEO industry delivers conflicting advice because agencies have different specializations and business models. Some excel at content but haven’t developed link building capabilities, so they emphasize content over links. Others have strong link operations but weaker content creation, leading to opposite recommendations.

But you don’t have to navigate blindly. Google publishes extensive documentation explaining how search works. Independent researchers analyze billions of pages to identify patterns. Google’s search quality team clarifies misconceptions publicly.

The Evidence Tells a Consistent Story

Modern SEO requires multiple factors working synergistically. Backlinks remain crucial for competitive visibility, but quality and relevance matter infinitely more than volume. ‘Toxic link cleanup’ is usually unnecessary revenue generation unless you’ve received manual actions. Constantly switching strategies stalls progress by preventing compounding effects.

When Evaluating SEO Advice

Demand evidence. Request Google documentation references. Look for independent research support. Question dramatic claims contradicting Google’s published statements.

Verify against multiple sources. Don’t rely on a single agency’s opinion—cross-reference recommendations against Google’s documentation and major industry studies.

Focus on long-term sustainability. Prioritize strategies that build genuine authority rather than exploiting loopholes or attempting manipulation.

Review the 28+ authoritative sources cited throughout this guide, starting with Google’s official documentation. The evidence is public, transparent, and accessible.

Your rankings and your budget deserve better than guesswork. Make evidence-based decisions aligned with Google’s documented guidelines, supported by independent research, and executed with patience over appropriate timelines.

The sites that succeed in 2026 are those that refuse to chase shiny objects, resist fear-based selling, demand evidence for recommendations, and commit to sustainable, ethical practices.

Be one of those sites.

If you’re looking for high-quality backlinks to boost your website’s authority and rankings, feel free to contact Nexvato.

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